In the end the probability of disclosure depends on at least two things. First, we, as a people (humans), need to decide if chasing money for a few decades and dying on Social Security (or its international equivalent) really makes sense. Can we take a real, objective look at our lives and determine whether what we have been doing is not just some form of psychosis or not? Can we continue to define our existence by consumption and obeisance to the old social norms or is there really something else for this divine human animal? Disclosure will change all that and render meaningless what we have all worked for. Humans will not be the same again. And there will be no going back. Once that genie is loosed, it will not go easily back into its bottle. By the natural course of disclosure, our world political and economic systems will evolve and become something quite unrecognizable from what we have today. The first will be last and the last first, so to speak. Are we really ready for that? Or is that slim chance we may win the Wall Street lottery enough to continue our support of oppressive dehumanizing economic systems?

Secondly, if we are ready for it, then how do we vouchsafe personal freedom to those who have kept the secrets from us for so long? Undoubtedly, there have been nefarious deeds done in the name of national security. People have been maimed, maddened, economically destroyed and professionally discredited, and killed as well. There are many crimes against humanity that, revealed, will become collateral damage for any real disclosure movement. Good people have worked hard in keeping this business classified and have done some things we cannot simply, as a people of law, "raise our eyebrows" concerning. Without an ironclad amnesty policy and national and international laws governing the release of previously classified information related to any extraterrestrial issue, very few people will ever let their cats out of the bag. We need to be prepared to pardon all actions related to keeping secret what happened in the past. All actions: even hideous and unforgivable atrocities against whole nations, or cities and portions thereof, need to be pardoned. No recriminations for their actions to date.

Changing the way humans have thought since the middle of the second millennium is an unimaginably difficult task. Our faith in finance surpasses all religions in its permeation of our cultures - it is a world religion of its own. There are far too many human individuals and nations involved for a homogenous understanding of a completely new meaning of life to evolve. Abandoning our instinct to collect and amass provision is probably not going to happen without a change to our actual genetic structure. In addition, the inculcation of the injunction to "turn the other cheek" and to absolutely forgive people for their sins is completely beyond the reach of us humans. We would walk on water easier than forgiving all wrongs done to us. An open and full disclosure of the truth of alien intervention, both past and present, depends on at least two things which are simply not currently within the pale of human emotion.